by Kerri Fronczak
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by Kerri Fronczak
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October 14, 2022: The title of this letter is an auto racing adage that aptly applies to investing. It highlights that much more than in the straightaways, it is in the turns, both entering and coming out of them, where drivers differentiate themselves.
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We look at the extreme recent outperformance in momentum stocks and the resulting disparities in valuations between certain perceived beneficiaries of artificial intelligence and a growing set of very attractive valuations of high quality companies outside of that space. VIEW/DOWNLOAD
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We examine the mechanics of our cash-flow valuation approach, the source of returns for long-term investors, and how systematic rebalancing improves portfolio fundamentals, the ultimate driver of returns. VIEW/DOWNLOAD
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We look at the significant recent contribution to equity returns coming from valuation expansion in a historical context and what it might mean for forward returns. VIEW/DOWNLOAD
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The S&P 500 in our view is expensive, at levels that have proven perilous in the past, and is also concentrated beyond historical precedents. For those who have stayed with the broad market, is it time to move to Value? The reality is that the Russell 1000 Value is only marginally cheaper and also has concentration issues and a legacy of slower underlying fundamental growth. VIEW/DOWNLOAD
